Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.243312 0.275185 0.309092 0.347785 0.390656 0.436635 0.489615
2025-08-31 0.198241 0.240736 0.288723 0.346708 0.414646 0.491482 0.584709
2025-09-07 0.170534 0.220111 0.279010 0.353674 0.445282 0.553460 0.690270
2025-09-14 0.146516 0.199846 0.266160 0.353872 0.465924 0.603281 0.783271
2025-09-21 0.127828 0.183379 0.255372 0.354293 0.485272 0.651181 0.875397
2025-09-28 0.112867 0.169660 0.246118 0.354883 0.503618 0.697615 0.967052
2025-10-05 0.102145 0.160278 0.241305 0.360242 0.527660 0.751781 1.070648
2025-10-12 0.094401 0.154109 0.240024 0.369784 0.557263 0.814149 1.187552
2025-10-19 0.086075 0.146053 0.235063 0.373240 0.577915 0.864623 1.289886
2025-10-26 0.079914 0.140577 0.233226 0.380735 0.604269 0.923745 1.406347
2025-11-02 0.075325 0.137053 0.233882 0.391693 0.635898 0.991372 1.537344
2025-11-09 0.068356 0.128868 0.226480 0.389482 0.647231 1.029549 1.626799
2025-11-16 0.062158 0.121556 0.220162 0.388954 0.661764 1.074163 1.729451
2025-11-23 0.056502 0.114585 0.213775 0.387738 0.674957 1.117169 1.831424
2025-11-30 0.052995 0.111097 0.212903 0.395405 0.702529 1.183180 1.970880
2025-12-07 0.048621 0.105514 0.207896 0.395616 0.717758 1.230383 2.082964
2025-12-14 0.044736 0.100431 0.203298 0.396075 0.733189 1.278276 2.197698
2025-12-21 0.041265 0.095775 0.199043 0.396724 0.748756 1.326765 2.314940
2025-12-28 0.038806 0.092901 0.197823 0.402630 0.773475 1.390944 2.459568
2026-01-04 0.037112 0.091439 0.199128 0.413146 0.806619 1.470165 2.631360
2026-01-11 0.034769 0.088325 0.196954 0.416954 0.827924 1.530240 2.773541
2026-01-18 0.033095 0.086501 0.197161 0.425211 0.857501 1.605276 2.943051
2026-01-25 0.031923 0.085685 0.199312 0.437280 0.894492 1.694240 3.138830